Friday, October 27, 2006

Market Recovers From Earlier Losses

Review of last night's trades. The ES was able to recover form earlier losses to close unchanged. My trade during pre-market was keeping with PRICE movement, as there was no failure yet. The precaution I had to take was that the TREND chart was in Prime, and possibly turning down - giving me a warning for that LONG. The second LONG trade was aggressive as the TREND chart was clearly pointing down, so taking profit fast was critical. The third trade, a SHORT was clearly in line with PRICE movement, and again, had to take profit fast, as the TREND chart was in Prime territory, with a possible change in direction of PRICE. My take was correct, as PRICE started to find a bottom. However, my internet connection was disrupted (twice, in fact) and by the time I came online, I had missed the LONG (TREND chart had by then turned Up). My last trade, a Long resulted in +1.00pt. Before signing off, the LONG bias was still intact, and waking up this morning, my observation of PRICE going up to challenge 1393.75, resulted in a BREACH.

Important Observation. Looking at the PRICE action near the market close, there is a possibility of a 1st leg of a Bull Break on the TREND chart, as the last Prime is only at 1385.00. Have to keep an open mind of this possiblity happening. Am also keeping a close look at the Swing chart, shoould the TREND chart start to show signs of a top. Remember, we need 3 legs to confirm a Bull Break.

10:13pm LONG 1389.00. STOP 1388.00
10:18pm Will consider taking profit when the Trading chart hits Prime.
10:24pm Stopped. -1.00pt.
10:31pm Will be looking for a possible SHORT.
10:33pm 2 MATCHES in a row - Indecision.
10:41pm SHORT 1389.75. STOP 1390.75
10:46pm Moving STOP to 1390.25. PRICE must break 1387.50 for this SHORT to work
10:50pm Protecting this trade. Moving STOP to 1390.00
10:53pm Moving STOP to B.E.
10:58pm Out at B.E. PRICE is refusing to go down. May see a LONG trade coming
11:00pm Putting a BUY Stop at 1390.00
11:01pm LONG at 1390.00. STOP 1388.50
11:08pm Again, watching this trade very carefully. Has to clear 1390.75. If not, I'm out.
11:11pm Moving STOP to 1389.50. PRICE trying very hard to break-out.
11:14pm PRICE going back up to challenge last night's high at 1395.25. PRICE has not fail yet. But may take profit first.
11:18pm Out at 1391.25. +1.25pts.
11:26pm Another possible LONG setting up (PF).
11:31pm Nope, the PRICE Failure (PF) did not happen.
11:33pm Still looking for LONGS. No failure as yet. Higher highs & Higher lows. TREND chart still pointing up to challenge 1395.25
11:39pm LONG 1391.25. STOP 1390.50
11:44pm Stopped out. - 0.75pts. The MATCH at 1391.75 showed weakness. Will revert to SHORTS if a minor PPF of 1391.75 happens.
12:22am SHORT 1391.25 . STOP 1391.75. Very tight STOP.
12:34am Stopped. -0.50pts. Cannot take the lunch time PRICE movements. Quite a bit of fake-outs.
12:44am Trading chart is in PRIME now. One more SHORT before I call it a night.
12.45am SHORT 1391.50. STOP 1392.50
12.49am PRICE must clear 1389.75 for this SHORT.
01:05am Out at 1391.00 +0.50pts. Trade taking too slow to happen. Am also getting sleepy. Logging off...
01:14am One last word. PRICE is still not failing. Series of Oscillation higher highs & higher lows - except for the Match (1391.75) at 11:40pm and the lower low at 1389.75. PRICE still looking to challenge last night's high of 1395.25. BREACH or FAIL, it'll be known to me tomorrow morning.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dear Gerimegaly,

It's one of those days that many can identify with. Being right but did not profit from it :)

I see one or two stop outs which yielded 1 pt or more. Do you consider to have multiple contract strategies so as to take some profit while letting the other prove itself?

Good Trading,
Space

gerimegaly said...

Hi Space,

thx for stopping by...1 contract is all I can take at this point in time. Profit is more, if I increase the number of contracts traded. LOSS is also more !
Not in that position yet to increase my risk exposure. Also need to be more consistent in the Profit dept...LOL
Perhaps in the future, but not now.

Gerimegaly